Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 09:00 AM
Wilmington Hammerheads 2–3 Fairfax Virginia Union
NCINO Sports Park · Field 8 ↗ · 28401
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 21% draw, 29% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Wilmington Hammerheads | Fairfax Virginia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D L W | W L D L L |
| Biggest win | 5–2 vs Charlotte SA | 3–2 at Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | 0–6 vs VDA | 0–2 at Skyline Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.18 | -0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.52 | +0.14 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–3 (home for Wilmington Hammerheads)
Common opponents: Skyline Elite — Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–2. Arlington Soccer Association — Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–1.
What's at stake
| Wilmington Hammerheads | Fairfax Virginia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 10th |
| Games left | 17 | 18 |
| Chance of top 4 | 8% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.4 | 9.1 |
How the results connect
21 chains
10 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 9 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 2 even; average margin -0.4 goals toward Wilmington Hammerheads.
- -1Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 2–3
- +2Wilmington Hammerheads drew with Skyline Elite 1–1 → Skyline Elite beat Fairfax Virginia Union 2–0
- +3Wilmington Hammerheads beat Arlington Soccer Association 4–2 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0
- 0Wilmington Hammerheads beat NC Fusion 1–0 → NC Fusion lost to Beach FC 3–4 → Beach FC drew with Fairfax Virginia Union 2–2
- 0Wilmington Hammerheads beat Charlotte SA 5–2 → Charlotte SA lost to Richmond United 2–7 → Richmond United beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–1
- +1Wilmington Hammerheads drew with Skyline Elite 1–1 → Skyline Elite beat Beach FC 3–2 → Beach FC drew with Fairfax Virginia Union 2–2
Full picture: Wilmington Hammerheads · Fairfax Virginia Union · Mid-Atlantic BU14 standings