Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 09:00 AM
NCFC Youth 3–2 Richmond United
WRAL · Field 5 ↗ · 27616
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 15% home, 14% draw, 72% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth | Richmond United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 5-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.13 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Fairfax Virginia Union | 6–0 at NC Fusion |
| Worst loss | 0–6 vs Arlington Soccer Association | 2–3 at NCFC Youth |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.12 | +1.84 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.65 | +0.08 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 3–2 (home for NCFC Youth)
Common opponents: VDA — NCFC Youth 1–4; Richmond United 2–2. Fairfax Virginia Union — NCFC Youth 4–0; Richmond United 4–0. Arlington Soccer Association — NCFC Youth 0–6; Richmond United 2–2.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth | Richmond United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 19 | 16 |
| Chance of top 4 | 3% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 5% |
| Average finish | 6.2 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
16 chains
4 favour NCFC Youth, 10 favour Richmond United, 2 even; average margin -2.8 goals toward NCFC Youth.
- +1NCFC Youth beat Richmond United 3–2
- 0NCFC Youth beat Fairfax Virginia Union 4–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to Richmond United 0–4
- -3NCFC Youth lost to VDA 1–4 → VDA drew with Richmond United 2–2
- -6NCFC Youth lost to Arlington Soccer Association 0–6 → Arlington Soccer Association drew with Richmond United 2–2
- 0NCFC Youth beat Skyline Elite 4–2 → Skyline Elite lost to VDA 0–2 → VDA drew with Richmond United 2–2
- +1NCFC Youth beat Fairfax Virginia Union 4–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to Beach FC 1–3 → Beach FC lost to Richmond United 2–3
Full picture: NCFC Youth · Richmond United · Mid-Atlantic BU13 standings