Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 01:00 PM
Alabama FC 2–2 Lobos Rush
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 26% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 40% home, 26% draw, 34% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Alabama FC | Lobos Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-4-1 | 6-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.08 | 2.22 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W D | W D D L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Mississippi Rush United | 6–0 vs Mississippi Rush United |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Tennessee SC | 0–2 at Coastal Rush |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.29 | +1.26 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.42 | -0.15 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 2–2 (home for Alabama FC)
Common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC — Alabama FC 0–0, 3–1; Lobos Rush 1–1. FC Alliance TN — Alabama FC 4–1, 5–1; Lobos Rush 5–1. Louisiana Fire SC — Alabama FC 2–2; Lobos Rush 1–0. Mississippi Rush United — Alabama FC 6–0, 6–1; Lobos Rush 6–0. Germantown Legends — Alabama FC 3–1; Lobos Rush 3–0. Tennessee United SC — Alabama FC 1–0; Lobos Rush 4–0. Tennessee SC — Alabama FC 0–1; Lobos Rush 1–0. Coastal Rush — Alabama FC 1–1; Lobos Rush 0–2.
What's at stake
| Alabama FC | Lobos Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 6 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 75% | 90% |
| Chance of 1st | 10% | 34% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 2.5 |
How the results connect
94 chains
27 favour Alabama FC, 48 favour Lobos Rush, 19 even; average margin -0.4 goals toward Alabama FC.
- 0Alabama FC drew with Lobos Rush 2–2
- 0Alabama FC beat FC Alliance TN 5–1 → FC Alliance TN lost to Lobos Rush 1–5
- 0Alabama FC beat Mississippi Rush United 6–0 → Mississippi Rush United lost to Lobos Rush 0–6
- 0Alabama FC drew with Chattanooga Red Wolves SC 0–0 → Chattanooga Red Wolves SC drew with Lobos Rush 1–1
- -1Alabama FC beat Mississippi Rush United 6–1 → Mississippi Rush United lost to Lobos Rush 0–6
- -1Alabama FC beat Germantown Legends 3–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Lobos Rush 0–3
Full picture: Alabama FC · Lobos Rush · Mid-America BU17 standings