TableChase Clubs

Palm Beach United

ECNL Boys · Florida BU16 · 11 teams · Palm Beach United FC (all teams)

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8th
2-1-3 record · 6 played
1.17 points per game
-4 goal diff · 9–13
LWDWLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.6
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Palm Beach United
8th · 1.17 PPG
at

Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.6 against · 0.69 expected points)

Season so farPalm Beach UnitedFort Lauderdale United FC
Position8th5th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-33-2-2
Points per game1.171.57
Goals for / game1.52.1
Goals against / game2.21.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W D W LW L D W D
Biggest win2–1 vs Space Coast United4–0 at AC Florida West
Worst loss0–4 vs Doral Soccer Club2–3 at Space Coast United
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.35+0.63
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31+0.06

Common opponents: Space Coast United — we 2–3, 2–1; they 2–3, 1–1. Sporting SA JAX — we 2–3, 2–2; they 3–1, 2–0. Doral Soccer Club — we 0–4; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Doral Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Space Coast United sit 7th on 1.33 PPG; we are on 1.17.

    A point moves us above Space Coast United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Palm Beach United – Fort Lauderdale United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
1.43 PPG
6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Draw
1.14 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
7.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 17%
  8. 8th 57%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Doral Soccer Club 2.13 (+0.96) 1st (2.16) 36 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
2 Florida Premier FC South 2.00 (+0.83) 5th (1.69) 33 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
3 Florida Premier FC 1.86 (+0.69) 2nd (1.83) 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
4 Sporting SA JAX 1.67 (+0.50) 6th (1.66) 27 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
5 Fort Lauderdale United FC 1.57 (+0.40) 3rd (1.74) 25 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 Florida Kraze Krush 1.50 (+0.33) 4th (1.69) 23 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Space Coast United 1.33 (+0.16) 7th (1.43) A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Palm Beach United to Fort Lauderdale United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
4 even
12 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 3–2 2–1 1–1 2–2 1–3 0–2 2–3 0–4 1–1 1–0 3–0 0–4 2–4 3–2 0–0 Palm Beach United 8th Space Coast United 7th Sporting SA JAX 4th Doral Soccer Club 1st Parkland Soccer Club 10th AC Florida West 11th Florida Kraze Krush 6th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.12 · 7th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
01:00 PM
no score posted
Florida Kraze Krush
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +2
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.06 1.15 Upside
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
5th · 3-2-2 · GD +6
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.69 1.09 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC South
2nd · 4-2-1 · GD +3
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
0–1 1.11 1.10 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
3rd · 4-1-2 · GD +9
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.85 1.07 Upside
Sat Nov 7
TBD
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -16
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.45 1.20 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 1-2-4 · GD -12
Away far trip
Southeast Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 1.24 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
TBD
Florida Kraze Krush
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 1.20 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 PM
Florida Premier FC South
2nd · 4-2-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.91 1.18 Upside
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC
3rd · 4-1-2 · GD +9
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.62 1.14 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Fort Lauderdale United FC
5th · 3-2-2 · GD +6
Home
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 1.13 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Parkland Soccer Club
10th · 1-3-5 · GD -9
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.85 1.17 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
01:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
1st · 5-2-1 · GD +13
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.43 1.13 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 1-2-4 · GD -12
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.97 1.18 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 PM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -16
Away far trip
Bayshore Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.23 1.23 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Doral Soccer Club 8521 207+13 172.13 WWLWD +0.05 -0.27 99% 1.4
2 Florida Premier FC South 7421 74+3 142.00 DLWDW -0.16 +0.01 45% 4.7
3 Florida Premier FC 7412 189+9 131.86 DWLWW -0.24 -0.03 77% 3.3
4 Sporting SA JAX 9432 149+5 151.67 DDWWW -0.00 -0.14 48% 4.6
5 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7322 159+6 111.57 DWDLW +0.06 -0.21 63% 3.9
6 Florida Kraze Krush 6231 119+2 91.50 DWLWD +0.54 -0.31 54% 4.4
7 Space Coast United 9333 1815+3 121.33 DLDWL +0.01 -0.11 12% 6.3
8 Palm Beach United 6213 913-4 71.17 LWDWL +0.31 -0.12 2% 7.6
9 Athletic Club Florida 7124 1022-12 50.71 LLDDL +0.04 +0.12 0% 9.4
10 Parkland Soccer Club 9135 615-9 60.67 DLDLL -0.02 +0.10 0% 9.4
11 AC Florida West 5005 319-16 00.00 LLLLL -0.03 +0.24 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.67 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.