Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 05:00 PM
Oregon Surf Blue 3–1 Bend FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 17% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 17% home, 14% draw, 69% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | Oregon Surf Blue | Bend FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 5-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D L W | W L W W W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Bend FC | 7–1 at Oregon Surf SC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs Oregon Valley Futbol Alliance | 1–3 at Oregon Surf Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.73 | +1.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.78 | -1.65 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–1 (home for Oregon Surf Blue)
Common opponents: Oregon Surf SC — Oregon Surf Blue 4–3; Bend FC 7–1. ADF Portland — Oregon Surf Blue 3–3; Bend FC 4–0. Oregon Valley Futbol Alliance — Oregon Surf Blue 0–4; Bend FC 3–1.
What's at stake
| Oregon Surf Blue | Bend FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 4 | 3 |
| Chance of top 4 | 4% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.8 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
15 chains
2 favour Oregon Surf Blue, 13 favour Bend FC; average margin -4.9 goals toward Oregon Surf Blue.
- +2Oregon Surf Blue beat Bend FC 3–1
- -4Oregon Surf Blue drew with ADF Portland 3–3 → ADF Portland lost to Bend FC 0–4
- -5Oregon Surf Blue beat Oregon Surf SC 4–3 → Oregon Surf SC lost to Bend FC 1–7
- -6Oregon Surf Blue lost to Oregon Valley Futbol Alliance 0–4 → Oregon Valley Futbol Alliance lost to Bend FC 1–3
- -2Oregon Surf Blue lost to Oregon Valley Futbol Alliance 0–4 → Oregon Valley Futbol Alliance beat Saints Soccer Academy 5–0 → Saints Soccer Academy lost to Bend FC 2–5
- +2Oregon Surf Blue drew with ADF Portland 3–3 → ADF Portland beat Oregon Surf SC 8–0 → Oregon Surf SC lost to Bend FC 1–7
Full picture: Oregon Surf Blue · Bend FC · Oregon U11 standings