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PSG Academy DFW

Elite Academy League · Texas U13 · 9 teams · PSG Academy DFW (all teams)

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9th
0-0-7 record · 7 played
0.00 points per game
-25 goal diff · 2–27
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0
+0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 02:00 PM

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PSG Academy DFW
9th · 0.00 PPG
vs
ALBION SC Dallas
6th · 1.13 PPG

Harmon Field Park, Herrera Soccer Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.9 for, 2.2 against · 0.59 expected points)

Season so farPSG Academy DFWALBION SC Dallas
Position9th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-73-0-5
Points per game0.001.13
Goals for / game0.31.1
Goals against / game3.92.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless54
Form (recent first)L L L L LW L L W W
Biggest win—3–0 vs CF10 Houston FC
Worst loss0–6 vs BVBIA DFW0–4 at ALBION SC Dallas (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.33-0.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.27+0.48

Common opponents: BVBIA DFW — we 0–6; they 0–3. Steel United TX — we 0–4, 0–2; they 1–2. ALBION SC Dallas (1) — we 0–5; they 0–3, 0–1. ALBION SC Dallas (2) — we 1–4; they 0–4, 2–1. BTX SC — we 0–1; they 3–2. CF10 Houston FC — we 1–5; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–6 vs BVBIA DFW, 0–4 at Steel United TX, 0–5 at ALBION SC Dallas (1), 0–2 vs Steel United TX, 0–1 vs BTX SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Dallas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSG Academy DFW – ALBION SC Dallas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
0.38 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Draw
0.13 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 100%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 1.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 BVBIA DFW 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.56) 48 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 ALBION SC Dallas (1) 2.33 (+2.33) 2nd (2.13) 38 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Atletico Dallas 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.76) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 ALBION SC Dallas (2) 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.50) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5 Steel United TX 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.39) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
6 ALBION SC Dallas 1.13 (+1.13) 7th (1.20) 19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 CF10 Houston FC 0.75 (+0.75) 6th (1.22) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 BTX SC 0.75 (+0.75) 8th (1.08) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection

How the results connect

44 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link PSG Academy DFW to ALBION SC Dallas through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
4 even
35 favour them
-2.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 4–0 0–2 2–1 0–1 2–3 0–5 3–0 0–4 0–6 3–0 1–2 1–0 1–5 0–3 0–2 1–0 PSG Academy DFW 9th ALBION SC Dallas (2) 4th Steel United TX 5th BTX SC 8th ALBION SC Dallas (1) 2nd BVBIA DFW 1st CF10 Houston FC 7th ALBION SC Dallas 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 5th 9th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
02:00 PM
ALBION SC Dallas
6th · 3-0-5 · GD -7
Home
Harmon Field Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.59 0.07 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:00 AM
Atletico Dallas
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.19 0.09 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM
BVBIA DFW
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +19
Away
Beacon Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.03 0.08 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas
6th · 3-0-5 · GD -7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.43 0.11 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (2)
4th · 3-0-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.26 0.13 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Atletico Dallas
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.29 0.14 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
BTX SC
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.40 0.16 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
CF10 Houston FC
7th · 1-0-3 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.18 0.16 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (1)
2nd · 7-0-2 · GD +15
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.14 0.16 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BVBIA DFW 7700 267+19 213.00 WWWWW -0.37 -0.09 100% 1.1
2 ALBION SC Dallas (1) 9702 238+15 212.33 WWLWL -0.38 +0.16 100% 2.1
3 Atletico Dallas 3201 54+1 62.00 LWW +0.83 -0.27 84% 3.5
4 ALBION SC Dallas (2) 6303 1411+3 91.50 LWLWL -0.15 +0.00 56% 4.6
5 Steel United TX 8404 1011-1 121.50 LWLLW -0.02 +0.09 30% 5.3
6 ALBION SC Dallas 8305 916-7 91.13 WWLLW +0.48 -0.37 7% 6.4
7 CF10 Houston FC 4103 1113-2 30.75 LLLW -0.04 +0.03 16% 6.2
8 BTX SC 4103 47-3 30.75 LLWL -0.03 +0.02 7% 6.8
9 PSG Academy DFW 7007 227-25 00.00 LLLLL +0.27 +0.24 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.84 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.