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All-IN FC

Elite Academy League · Southeast U13 · 8 teams · All-IN FC (all teams)

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3rd
6-0-2 record · 8 played
2.25 points per game
+28 goal diff · 37–9
WLLWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.5
-0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 09:15 AM

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All-IN FC
3rd · 2.25 PPG
vs

Gary Pirkle Park, Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.9 against · 1.03 expected points)

Season so farAll-IN FCALBION SC Atlanta Metro
Position3rd1st
Record (W-D-L)6-0-26-1-0
Points per game2.252.71
Goals for / game4.67.6
Goals against / game1.10.7
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W L L WW W W D W
Biggest win10–0 vs ALBION SC Atlanta12–0 vs ALBION SC Nashville
Worst loss1–4 at ALBION SC Atlanta Metro—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.41+4.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.14-0.59

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 1–4 at ALBION SC Atlanta Metro (L)

Common opponents: UFA Gainesville — we 3–0, 1–2; they 2–2. BVBIA Georgia — we 5–1; they 9–1. UFA Norcross — we 5–1; they 9–1. ALBION SC Nashville — we 8–0; they 12–0. Covered Bridge Soccer Club — we 4–1; they 11–0. ALBION SC Atlanta — we 10–0; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    ALBION SC Atlanta Metro score 7.6/game — well above the league's 3.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Atlanta Metro concede only 0.7/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 28%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    ALBION SC Atlanta Metro have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:15 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Atlanta Metro game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (All-IN FC – ALBION SC Atlanta Metro) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.11 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.33 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.11 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.00 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.5 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 40%
  3. 3rd 54%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Atlanta Metro 2.71 (+0.46) 1st (2.66) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 UFA Gainesville 2.44 (+0.19) 2nd (2.36) 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection

How the results connect

48 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link All-IN FC to ALBION SC Atlanta Metro through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
2 even
33 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 1–2 2–2 3–0 10–0 0–6 8–0 0–12 5–1 1–9 5–1 1–9 4–1 0–11 0–3 9–2 2–3 3–1 All-IN FC 3rd UFA Gainesville 2nd ALBION SC Atlanta 8th ALBION SC Nashville 7th UFA Norcross 4th BVBIA Georgia 5th Covered Bridge Socc… 6th ALBION SC Atlanta M… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 4th 8th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.72 · 8th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
09:15 AM
ALBION SC Atlanta Metro
1st · 6-1-0 · GD +48
Home
Gary Pirkle Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.03 2.11 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Covered Bridge Soccer Club
6th · 2-0-6 · GD -15
Away
Joe Cowan Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.63 2.17 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
12:30 PM
UFA Norcross
4th · 4-0-3 · GD -3
Home
Gary Pirkle Park
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
4–1 2.53 2.20 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Atlanta
8th · 1-0-8 · GD -56
Away
North Mount Carmel Park
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
7–0 2.95 2.26 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Nashville
7th · 1-0-6 · GD -31
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
6–1 2.85 2.31 Bank it
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
BVBIA Georgia
5th · 3-0-4 · GD +3
Away
Friendly City Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
4–2 2.28 2.31 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Atlanta Metro 7610 535+48 192.71 WDWWW -0.59 -0.59 100% 1.2
2 UFA Gainesville 9711 3812+26 222.44 WWWWW -0.32 -0.28 100% 2.4
3 All-IN FC 8602 379+28 182.25 WLLWW -0.14 -0.72 100% 2.5
4 UFA Norcross 7403 1922-3 121.71 LLLWW +0.33 -0.19 74% 4.3
5 BVBIA Georgia 7304 2926+3 91.29 WWLWL -0.38 +0.23 26% 4.8
6 Covered Bridge Soccer Club 8206 2136-15 60.75 LWLLL +0.26 +0.26 0% 6.0
7 ALBION SC Nashville 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.08 +0.81 0% 7.0
8 ALBION SC Atlanta 9108 1167-56 30.33 LLLLL +0.31 +1.49 0% 7.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.