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Warriors Sports Academy

Elite Academy League · PACNW U17 · 17 teams · Warriors Sports Academy (all teams)

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17th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-7 goal diff · 7–14
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.1
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Warriors Sports Academy
17th · 0.00 PPG
at
Seattle Celtic
11th · 0.67 PPG

Valley Ridge Park, #3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.9 against · 1.36 expected points)

Season so farWarriors Sports AcademySeattle Celtic
Position17th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-31-1-4
Points per game0.000.67
Goals for / game2.31.5
Goals against / game4.73.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L LL L L D W
Biggest win—3–2 at Western WA Surf Academy White
Worst loss0–3 at Emerald City FC2–8 at Washington East Surf Columbia Basin
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.06-1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31+0.57

Common opponents: Mt. Rainier — we 3–5; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Emerald City FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Seattle Celtic have lost 3 straight (form: WDLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Valley Ridge Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Sting Soccer Club - ID sit 16th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Sting Soccer Club - ID on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle Celtic game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Warriors Sports Academy – Seattle Celtic) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.25 PPG
15th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 3 16th▲ up 1
Win
0.75 PPG
11th▲ up 6 10th▲ up 7 14th▲ up 3
Draw
0.25 PPG
15th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 3 16th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 17th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 14th if every rival drops points, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 5%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 11%
  13. 13th 16%
  14. 14th 17%
  15. 15th 15%
  16. 16th 10%
  17. 17th 6%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.40 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.59) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 2.67 (+2.67) 2nd (2.58) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Emerald City FC 2.67 (+2.67) 3rd (2.50) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Everett FC 2.25 (+2.25) 5th (1.80) 34 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
5 Sparta Tacoma 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (2.00) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 Mt. Rainier 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.55) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
7 Atletico Rojo 1.50 (+1.50) 6th (1.60) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Western WA Surf Academy White 1.20 (+1.20) 9th (1.31) 18 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Highline Premier FC 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (1.09) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 0.80 (+0.80) 10th (1.11) 12 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
11 Seattle Celtic 0.67 (+0.67) 12th (0.96) A point next game
12 BVBIA Washington 0.60 (+0.60) 16th (0.60) A point next game
13 ALBION SC Hawaii 0.33 (+0.33) 13th (0.95) A point next game
14 ALBION SC Washington 0.33 (+0.33) 15th (0.72) A point next game
15 Harbor SC 0.25 (+0.25) 17th (0.56) A point next game
16 Sting Soccer Club - ID 0.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.46) Already ahead

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Warriors Sports Academy to Seattle Celtic through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
3 favour them
+0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–5 1–0 0–3 3–1 4–2 3–0 1–0 1–1 4–6 0–3 5–1 4–0 Warriors Sports Aca… 17th Mt. Rainier 6th Emerald City FC 3rd Highline Premier FC 9th Sparta Tacoma 5th ALBION SC Hawaii 13th Atletico Rojo 7th Seattle Celtic 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 9th 17th Aug 22 Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.06 · 7th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Seattle Celtic
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Away
Valley Ridge Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.36 0.34 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM
BVBIA Washington
12th · 1-0-4 · GD -26
Away
International School
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
4–3 1.96 0.66 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
05:00 PM
Western WA Surf Academy Blue
2nd · 5-1-0 · GD +23
Home
Robinswood Soccer Field
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.20 0.59 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM
Washington East Surf Columbia Basin
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +32
Away
Pasco Sporting Complex - Soccer Fields
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–8 0.06 0.51 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Valencia CF Academy - Seattle
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
Issaquah Central Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.53 0.64 Swing game
Sat Dec 12
05:00 PM
Atletico Rojo
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -5
Home
Marymoor Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–3 1.23 0.70 Upside
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Washington
14th · 0-1-2 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
3–2 1.88 0.82 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
10:50 AM
Everett FC
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Lincoln Field
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–4 0.45 0.79 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Harbor SC
15th · 0-1-3 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
3–3 1.65 0.86 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy White
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.11 0.88 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Sting Soccer Club - ID
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.12 0.90 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
Sparta Tacoma
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +11
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.56 0.87 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 4400 386+32 123.00 WWWW -1.15 +0.11 100% 1.9
2 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 6510 285+23 162.67 WDWWW +0.06 -0.36 100% 1.9
3 Emerald City FC 6510 182+16 162.67 WWWDW +0.22 -0.32 99% 2.4
4 Everett FC 4301 156+9 92.25 WWWL -1.48 +0.53 22% 5.7
5 Sparta Tacoma 6402 2110+11 122.00 LWWWW -0.33 -0.07 61% 4.5
6 Mt. Rainier 6402 913-4 122.00 LWWWW +0.04 -0.08 5% 7.3
7 Atletico Rojo 6303 1217-5 91.50 LLWLW +1.31 -0.77 7% 6.9
8 Western WA Surf Academy White 5203 1413+1 61.20 LLWWL -0.62 +0.26 1% 9.2
9 Highline Premier FC 4112 813-5 41.00 LWLD -0.02 +0.11 0% 11.3
10 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 5113 714-7 40.80 WLLLD +0.79 -0.36 0% 11.0
11 Seattle Celtic 6114 921-12 40.67 WDLLL +0.57 -0.32 0% 12.3
12 BVBIA Washington 5104 1036-26 30.60 LLWLL +0.83 -0.17 0% 15.4
13 ALBION SC Hawaii 3012 16-5 10.33 LDL -0.05 -0.40 0% 12.4
14 ALBION SC Washington 3012 311-8 10.33 LDL -0.34 +0.15 0% 14.3
15 Harbor SC 4013 821-13 10.25 LDLL -0.03 +0.27 0% 15.6
16 Sting Soccer Club - ID 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Warriors Sports Academy 3003 714-7 00.00 LLL +0.31 +0.06 0% 13.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.