NE Reds Long Island
Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U16 · 8 teams · NE Reds Long Island (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 15, 03:30 PM
Stonybrook University, Stonybrook Track Turf ↗ · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | NE Reds Long Island | United Soccer Group |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
United Soccer Group average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
JP Soccer sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above JP Soccer on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the United Soccer Group game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NE Reds Long Island – United Soccer Group) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 6 | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 6 | 1st▲ up 6 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 6 | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 13%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 14%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 12%
- 8th 12%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albertson Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 2 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.39) | Already ahead |
| 3 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Atlantic United | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.39) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.39) | Already ahead |
| 6 | JP Soccer | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.43) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 15 03:30 PM |
United Soccer Group 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stonybrook University · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
JP Soccer 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Albertson Soccer Club 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Atlantic United 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Albertson Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Atlantic United · Sun Mar 14 at United Soccer Group · Sat Apr 3 vs JP Soccer See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at JP Soccer · Sun Mar 14 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sat Apr 3 at NE Reds Long Island See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Mar 14 vs Atlantic United · Sat Apr 3 at United Soccer Group See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlantic United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 at ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Apr 3 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Fairfield · Sun Mar 14 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sat Apr 3 at Atlantic United See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | JP Soccer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Mar 14 vs NE Reds Long Island · Sat Apr 3 at Albertson Soccer Club See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | NE Reds Long Island | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs United Soccer Group · Sun Mar 14 at JP Soccer · Sat Apr 3 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | United Soccer Group | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at NE Reds Long Island · Sun Mar 14 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sat Apr 3 vs ALBION SC Fairfield See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.