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PSL Hurricanes

Elite Academy League · Florida U17 · 5 teams · PSL Hurricanes (all teams)

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3rd
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
95% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.8
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 12, 01:00 PM

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PSL Hurricanes
3rd · 0.00 PPG
at
ALBION SC Miami
1st · 3.00 PPG

Lakes by the Bay Park, LBTB2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.5 against · 0.55 expected points)

Season so farPSL HurricanesALBION SC Miami
Position3rd1st
Record (W-D-L)0-0-02-0-0
Points per game0.003.00
Goals for / game0.03.5
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—W W
Biggest win—4–0 at United Stars Academy
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+1.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.73

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    ALBION SC Miami score 3.5/game — well above the league's 1.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Miami concede only 0.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Lakes by the Bay Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Ignite Soccer Academy sit 2nd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Ignite Soccer Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Miami game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSL Hurricanes – ALBION SC Miami) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 2 1st▲ up 2 1st▲ up 2
Draw
1.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
95% top 4
5% below the top 4
2.8 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 42%
  3. 3rd 35%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 5%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Miami 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.42) Win next game
2 Ignite Soccer Academy 0.00 (+0.00) 3rd (1.43) Already ahead

Position over the season

2 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 4th hardest of 5

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Dec 12
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Miami
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Away
Lakes by the Bay Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.55 0.55 Upside
Sun Jan 17
02:00 PM
United Stars Academy
5th · 0-0-1 · GD -4
Away
Amelia Earhart Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.80 1.17 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
11:00 AM
United Stars Academy
5th · 0-0-1 · GD -4
Home
Swan Park
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.06 1.47 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
03:00 PM
La Cantera
4th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.63 1.51 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Ignite Soccer Academy
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.46 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
La Cantera
4th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.89 1.53 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Miami
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Swan Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 1.42 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
United Stars Academy
5th · 0-0-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.06 1.50 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
11:00 AM
Ignite Soccer Academy
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Swan Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.52 1.50 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Miami
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Away
Cutler Ridge Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.55 1.40 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Ignite Soccer Academy
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.52 1.41 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
La Cantera
4th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.63 1.43 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Miami 2200 70+7 63.00 WW -0.73 -0.29 100% 1.1
2 Ignite Soccer Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.04 ——
3 PSL Hurricanes 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.04 ——
4 La Cantera 1001 03-3 00.00 L +1.28 -0.01 67% 4.0
5 United Stars Academy 1001 04-4 00.00 L +1.28 +0.07 43% 4.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.