United Stars Academy
Elite Academy League · Florida U16 · 5 teams · United Stars Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 01:30 PM
Amelia Earhart Park, Amelia Earhart Park ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.5 for, 2.5 against · 1.44 expected points)
| Season so far | United Stars Academy | La Cantera |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W |
| Biggest win | — | 3–2 at ALBION SC Miami |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.26 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.26 |
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 42%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
PSL Hurricanes sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above PSL Hurricanes on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the La Cantera game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (United Stars Academy – La Cantera) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 19%
- 2nd 21%
- 3rd 22%
- 4th 19%
- 5th 18%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Cantera | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.70) | Win next game |
| 2 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | PSL Hurricanes | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 01:30 PM |
La Cantera 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +1 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
2–2 | 1.44 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 17 12:15 PM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 23 09:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Swan Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 02:00 PM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.38 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
La Cantera 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–2 | 1.71 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
La Cantera 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 01:30 PM |
ALBION SC Miami 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–2 | 1.71 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | La Cantera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.26 | -0.05 | 95% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Miami · Sat Nov 14 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 16 vs PSL Hurricanes See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Feb 7 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Feb 21 at United Stars Academy · Sat Mar 6 at La Cantera See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PSL Hurricanes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at ALBION SC Miami · Sat Jan 16 at La Cantera · Sun Jan 17 at United Stars Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | United Stars Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs La Cantera · Sun Jan 17 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sat Jan 23 at PSL Hurricanes See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.26 | +0.05 | 61% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at La Cantera · Sat Dec 12 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sun Feb 7 vs Ignite Soccer Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.47 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.