La Cantera
Elite Academy League · Florida U13 · 5 teams · La Cantera (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM
Lakes By the Bay Park, LBTB2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.9 against · 1.63 expected points)
| Season so far | La Cantera | ALBION SC Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-0 | 1-0-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W | L W |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at ALBION SC Miami | 4–2 at United Stars Academy |
| Worst loss | — | 1–2 vs La Cantera |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.30 | +0.19 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.19 | -0.10 |
Already played this season: Sun Oct 18 2–1 at ALBION SC Miami (W)
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 48% / draw 20% / loss 32%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Miami game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (La Cantera – ALBION SC Miami) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 46%
- 2nd 25%
- 3rd 17%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 3%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
1 chain · 2 teams
Paths of results that link La Cantera to ALBION SC Miami through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
2 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.11 · 5th hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 2nd · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home Lakes By the Bay Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.63 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
United Stars Academy 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Away Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.69 | 2.10 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 30 09:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 1.95 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
United Stars Academy 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.88 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 2nd · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.32 | 1.81 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.77 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
United Stars Academy 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 1.79 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 1.79 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 11:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.75 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Cantera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.19 | -0.11 | 97% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Miami · Sat Nov 14 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 30 vs PSL Hurricanes See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | ALBION SC Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.10 | -0.04 | 92% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at La Cantera · Sat Dec 12 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sun Feb 7 vs Ignite Soccer Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Feb 7 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Feb 21 at United Stars Academy · Sat Mar 6 at La Cantera See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | PSL Hurricanes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Jan 17 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 23 vs United Stars Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | United Stars Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.19 | +0.12 | 42% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs La Cantera · Sun Jan 17 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sat Jan 23 at PSL Hurricanes See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.