Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 09:00 AM
Lonestar SAT 1–0 Sting Black
Starcrest Complex · Field 5 ↗ · 78247
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 40% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 40% home, 30% draw, 30% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | Lonestar SAT | Sting Black |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-3 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L L W | L L W D |
| Biggest win | 1–0 vs West Side Alliance | 3–2 at Dallas Texans |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs OK Energy FC Texas | 1–2 at FC Westlake White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.11 | -0.21 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.08 | -0.24 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–0 (home for Lonestar SAT)
Common opponents: Dallas Texans — Lonestar SAT 1–2; Sting Black 3–2.
What's at stake
| Lonestar SAT | Sting Black | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 11th |
| Games left | 7 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 1% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 9.0 | 9.5 |
How the results connect
11 chains
6 favour Lonestar SAT, 4 favour Sting Black, 1 even; average margin +1.0 goals toward Lonestar SAT.
- +1Lonestar SAT beat Sting Black 1–0
- -2Lonestar SAT lost to Dallas Texans 1–2 → Dallas Texans lost to Sting Black 2–3
- 0Lonestar SAT beat West Side Alliance 1–0 → West Side Alliance lost to FC Westlake White 0–2 → FC Westlake White beat Sting Black 2–1
- +1Lonestar SAT lost to Dallas Texans 1–2 → Dallas Texans beat FC Westlake White 2–1 → FC Westlake White beat Sting Black 2–1
- +1Lonestar SAT lost to SOLAR SC 1–2 → SOLAR SC beat Dallas Texans 3–0 → Dallas Texans lost to Sting Black 2–3
- -1Lonestar SAT beat West Side Alliance 1–0 → West Side Alliance lost to Sting Royal 0–2 → Sting Royal drew with Sting Black 1–1
Full picture: Lonestar SAT · Sting Black · Texas GU13 standings