Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Alabama FC 2–2 CESA Liberty
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 18% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 58% home, 18% draw, 24% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Alabama FC | CESA Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-2 | 1-2-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W L D | D L D L W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Charlotte SA Gold | 2–1 vs Concorde Fire Platinum |
| Worst loss | 2–4 at Atlanta Fire United | 1–8 at Concorde Fire Premier |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.18 | -0.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.22 | +0.28 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–2 (home for Alabama FC)
Common opponents: South Carolina United — Alabama FC 0–1; CESA Liberty 2–2.
What's at stake
| Alabama FC | CESA Liberty | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 8th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 14% | 4% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.5 | 7.6 |
How the results connect
11 chains
5 favour Alabama FC, 5 favour CESA Liberty, 1 even; average margin +1.2 goals toward Alabama FC.
- 0Alabama FC drew with CESA Liberty 2–2
- -1Alabama FC lost to South Carolina United 0–1 → South Carolina United drew with CESA Liberty 2–2
- -1Alabama FC drew with United Futbol Academy 4–4 → United Futbol Academy drew with Concorde Fire Platinum 1–1 → Concorde Fire Platinum lost to CESA Liberty 1–2
- +2Alabama FC lost to South Carolina United 0–1 → South Carolina United beat GSA 2–0 → GSA beat CESA Liberty 1–0
- -4Alabama FC lost to Atlanta Fire United 2–4 → Atlanta Fire United lost to Concorde Fire Platinum 1–2 → Concorde Fire Platinum lost to CESA Liberty 1–2
- +4Alabama FC drew with United Futbol Academy 4–4 → United Futbol Academy beat GSA 3–0 → GSA beat CESA Liberty 1–0
Full picture: Alabama FC · CESA Liberty · Southeast GU14 standings