Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 10:30 AM
East Coast Surf 3–1 Albany Alleycats
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 37% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 24% draw, 39% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | East Coast Surf | Albany Alleycats |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-0 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W D | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Albany Alleycats | 6–0 at Quickstrike FC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 at East Coast Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.58 | +1.05 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | -0.18 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 3–1 (home for East Coast Surf)
Common opponents: New England Surf — East Coast Surf 1–1; Albany Alleycats 2–1.
What's at stake
| East Coast Surf | Albany Alleycats | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 2nd |
| Games left | 10 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 98% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 5% | 18% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 2.5 |
How the results connect
10 chains
1 favour East Coast Surf, 7 favour Albany Alleycats, 2 even; average margin -2.4 goals toward East Coast Surf.
- +2East Coast Surf beat Albany Alleycats 3–1
- -1East Coast Surf drew with New England Surf 1–1 → New England Surf lost to Albany Alleycats 1–2
- 0East Coast Surf drew with Keystone Athletic 1–1 → Keystone Athletic beat YMS 4–1 → YMS lost to Albany Alleycats 1–4
- 0East Coast Surf beat Reading Rage Surf 2–0 → Reading Rage Surf beat YMS 1–0 → YMS lost to Albany Alleycats 1–4
- -2East Coast Surf beat Reading Rage Surf 2–0 → Reading Rage Surf beat Quickstrike FC 3–1 → Quickstrike FC lost to Albany Alleycats 0–6
- -3East Coast Surf drew with Keystone Athletic 1–1 → Keystone Athletic beat Quickstrike FC 3–0 → Quickstrike FC lost to Albany Alleycats 0–6
Full picture: East Coast Surf · Albany Alleycats · Northeast GU14 standings