Preview · Saturday, Apr 10, 10:00 AM
Merced United vs OV Toros FC
Forecast
78%
12%
10%
Merced United windrawOV Toros FC win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.3 home, 1.2 away)
| Season so far | Merced United | OV Toros FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | L W W W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs South Valley Chivas | 5–0 vs Alameda Soccer Club Islanders |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 at Walnut Creek Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.05 | +0.36 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.22 | -0.07 |
Common opponents: South Valley Chivas — Merced United 6–0; OV Toros FC 3–4.
What's at stake
| Merced United | OV Toros FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 11th |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 34% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.0 | 11.4 |
How the results connect
7 chains
6 favour Merced United, 1 favour OV Toros FC; average margin +2.7 goals toward Merced United.
- +7Merced United beat South Valley Chivas 6–0 → South Valley Chivas beat OV Toros FC 4–3
- +1Merced United beat Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL 2–1 → Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL lost to Walnut Creek Surf 0–3 → Walnut Creek Surf beat OV Toros FC 4–1
- -1Merced United beat Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL 2–1 → Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 2–3 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to OV Toros FC 2–3
- +1Merced United beat East County Revolution FC 4–1 → East County Revolution FC drew with Eastshore Alliance FC 2–2 → Eastshore Alliance FC lost to OV Toros FC 0–2
- +2Merced United beat Belmont United Soccer Club 5–0 → Belmont United Soccer Club lost to Walnut Creek Surf 0–6 → Walnut Creek Surf beat OV Toros FC 4–1
- +3Merced United drew with Folsom Lake Surf 1–1 → Folsom Lake Surf beat South Valley Chivas 3–1 → South Valley Chivas beat OV Toros FC 4–3
Full picture: Merced United · OV Toros FC · NorCal GU13 standings