Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 12:00 PM
Merced United 4–1 East County Revolution FC
Merced College · Field 3 ↗ · 95348
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 76% chance. Pre-match odds were 76% home, 14% draw, 10% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Merced United | East County Revolution FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-0 | 3-3-1 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 1.71 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | D W L W D |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs South Valley Chivas | 5–1 at Belmont United Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 at Merced United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.05 | +0.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.22 | -0.32 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 4–1 (home for Merced United)
Common opponents: Belmont United Soccer Club — Merced United 5–0; East County Revolution FC 5–1.
What's at stake
| Merced United | East County Revolution FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 10th |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 33% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 9.9 |
How the results connect
4 chains
4 favour Merced United, 0 favour East County Revolution FC; average margin +1.8 goals toward Merced United.
- +3Merced United beat East County Revolution FC 4–1
- +1Merced United beat Belmont United Soccer Club 5–0 → Belmont United Soccer Club lost to East County Revolution FC 1–5
- +1Merced United beat Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL 2–1 → Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL drew with Solano Surf 1–1 → Solano Surf drew with East County Revolution FC 1–1
- +2Merced United drew with Folsom Lake Surf 1–1 → Folsom Lake Surf beat Santa Clara Sporting 4–0 → Santa Clara Sporting lost to East County Revolution FC 2–4
Full picture: Merced United · East County Revolution FC · NorCal GU13 standings