Result · Saturday, Aug 15, 02:00 PM
Folsom Lake Surf 1–1 Merced United
Davis Legacy · Field 7 ↗ · 95618
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 24% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 49% home, 24% draw, 28% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Folsom Lake Surf | Merced United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-0 | 5-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.43 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at West Coast Soccer -RL | 6–0 vs South Valley Chivas |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.89 | +2.05 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.22 |
Already met this season: Aug 15 1–1 (home for Folsom Lake Surf)
Common opponents: Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL — Folsom Lake Surf 0–0; Merced United 2–1. South Valley Chivas — Folsom Lake Surf 3–1; Merced United 6–0.
What's at stake
| Folsom Lake Surf | Merced United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 8 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 47% | 33% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 3% |
| Average finish | 4.5 | 5.1 |
How the results connect
6 chains
1 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 4 favour Merced United, 1 even; average margin -1.2 goals toward Folsom Lake Surf.
- 0Folsom Lake Surf drew with Merced United 1–1
- -1Folsom Lake Surf drew with Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL 0–0 → Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL lost to Merced United 1–2
- -4Folsom Lake Surf beat South Valley Chivas 3–1 → South Valley Chivas lost to Merced United 0–6
- +1Folsom Lake Surf beat Palo Alto SC 4–0 → Palo Alto SC beat Diablo Valley Futbol Club 2–0 → Diablo Valley Futbol Club lost to Merced United 1–6
- -1Folsom Lake Surf beat Santa Clara Sporting 4–0 → Santa Clara Sporting lost to East County Revolution FC 2–4 → East County Revolution FC lost to Merced United 1–4
- -2Folsom Lake Surf beat San Francisco Elite Academy 2–0 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat Diablo Valley Futbol Club 2–1 → Diablo Valley Futbol Club lost to Merced United 1–6
Full picture: Folsom Lake Surf · Merced United · NorCal GU13 standings