Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 11:00 AM
Lobos Rush 2–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 34% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 34% home, 24% draw, 43% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Lobos Rush | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 1-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W D W | L D D W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 6–1 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Germantown Legends | 1–2 at Lobos Rush |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.05 | +0.44 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.24 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–1 (home for Lobos Rush)
Common opponents: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Lobos Rush 3–1; Chattanooga Red Wolves 6–1. FC Alliance TN — Lobos Rush 1–1; Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–2. Germantown Legends — Lobos Rush 0–2; Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–1.
What's at stake
| Lobos Rush | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 24% | 56% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 2% |
| Average finish | 5.8 | 4.4 |
How the results connect
10 chains
2 favour Lobos Rush, 5 favour Chattanooga Red Wolves, 3 even; average margin -1.4 goals toward Lobos Rush.
- +1Lobos Rush beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–1
- 0Lobos Rush drew with FC Alliance TN 1–1 → FC Alliance TN drew with Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–2
- -2Lobos Rush lost to Germantown Legends 0–2 → Germantown Legends drew with Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–1
- -3Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–6
- 0Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to FC Alliance TN 0–2 → FC Alliance TN drew with Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–2
- 0Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Germantown Legends 0–2 → Germantown Legends drew with Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–1
Full picture: Lobos Rush · Chattanooga Red Wolves · Mid-America GU14 standings