Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 11:00 AM
Lobos Rush 1–1 FC Alliance TN
Progress Park · Field 1 ↗ · 38017
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 24% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 46% home, 24% draw, 29% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Lobos Rush | FC Alliance TN |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 1-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W D W | L D W D |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 2–0 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Germantown Legends | 1–5 at Germantown Legends |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.05 | -0.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.12 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 1–1 (home for Lobos Rush)
Common opponents: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Lobos Rush 3–1; FC Alliance TN 2–0. Chattanooga Red Wolves — Lobos Rush 2–1; FC Alliance TN 2–2. Germantown Legends — Lobos Rush 0–2; FC Alliance TN 1–5.
What's at stake
| Lobos Rush | FC Alliance TN | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 6th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 24% | 13% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.8 | 6.6 |
How the results connect
10 chains
5 favour Lobos Rush, 3 favour FC Alliance TN, 2 even; average margin +0.9 goals toward Lobos Rush.
- 0Lobos Rush drew with FC Alliance TN 1–1
- 0Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to FC Alliance TN 0–2
- +1Lobos Rush beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–1 → Chattanooga Red Wolves drew with FC Alliance TN 2–2
- +2Lobos Rush lost to Germantown Legends 0–2 → Germantown Legends beat FC Alliance TN 5–1
- -2Lobos Rush lost to Germantown Legends 0–2 → Germantown Legends drew with Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–1 → Chattanooga Red Wolves drew with FC Alliance TN 2–2
- -2Lobos Rush lost to Germantown Legends 0–2 → Germantown Legends beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–0 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to FC Alliance TN 0–2
Full picture: Lobos Rush · FC Alliance TN · Mid-America GU14 standings