Result · Saturday, Oct 10, 03:00 PM
Toca Fusion Elite 2–2 Gretna Elite Academy
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 23% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 47% home, 23% draw, 30% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Toca Fusion Elite | Gretna Elite Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-4 | 2-4-7 |
| Points per game | 1.22 | 0.77 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | D D W L L | L L L D L |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs FC United Iowa | 4–0 vs FC United Iowa |
| Worst loss | 1–7 at Sporting Blue Valley | 0–5 vs Missouri Rush |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.01 | -1.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.29 | +0.88 |
Already met this season: Oct 10 2–2 (home for Toca Fusion Elite)
Common opponents: Kansas Rush Gold — Toca Fusion Elite 0–4; Gretna Elite Academy 0–3. Sporting Blue Valley — Toca Fusion Elite 1–7; Gretna Elite Academy 0–5, 1–5. Kansas City Athletics — Toca Fusion Elite 1–3; Gretna Elite Academy 0–2, 0–4. FC United Iowa — Toca Fusion Elite 2–0; Gretna Elite Academy 4–0. Omaha United SC — Toca Fusion Elite 1–1; Gretna Elite Academy 2–0.
What's at stake
| Toca Fusion Elite | Gretna Elite Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 7 | 3 |
| Chance of top 4 | 81% | 19% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.2 | 4.9 |
How the results connect
28 chains
10 favour Toca Fusion Elite, 13 favour Gretna Elite Academy, 5 even; average margin -0.6 goals toward Toca Fusion Elite.
- 0Toca Fusion Elite drew with Gretna Elite Academy 2–2
- 0Toca Fusion Elite lost to Kansas City Athletics 1–3 → Kansas City Athletics beat Gretna Elite Academy 2–0
- -1Toca Fusion Elite lost to Sporting Blue Valley 1–7 → Sporting Blue Valley beat Gretna Elite Academy 5–0
- -1Toca Fusion Elite lost to Kansas Rush Gold 0–4 → Kansas Rush Gold beat Gretna Elite Academy 3–0
- -2Toca Fusion Elite drew with Omaha United SC 1–1 → Omaha United SC lost to Gretna Elite Academy 0–2
- +2Toca Fusion Elite lost to Kansas City Athletics 1–3 → Kansas City Athletics beat Gretna Elite Academy 4–0
Full picture: Toca Fusion Elite · Gretna Elite Academy · Heartland GU15 standings