Preview · Sunday, Apr 18, TBD
Mustang SC vs Santa Rosa United
Forecast
Most likely score 4–0 (expected goals 4.9 home, 0.5 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-2 | 0-1-10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.09 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 3.9 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 8 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | D L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE | — |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf | 0–10 vs MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.13 | -2.64 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | +0.38 |
Common opponents: MVLA — Mustang SC 3–1; Santa Rosa United 0–3, 0–10. Placer United — Mustang SC 4–1; Santa Rosa United 0–6. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 2–0; Santa Rosa United 0–5. Force — Mustang SC 1–0; Santa Rosa United 1–3, 1–1. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 1–3; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Marin FC — Mustang SC 0–1; Santa Rosa United 1–4. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 3–2; Santa Rosa United 0–3. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 6–2, 4–2; Santa Rosa United 0–3.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 12th |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.2 | 12.0 |
How the results connect
103 chains
88 favour Mustang SC, 7 favour Santa Rosa United, 8 even; average margin +4.8 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +1Mustang SC beat Force 1–0 → Force drew with Santa Rosa United 1–1
- +2Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 0–1 → Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 4–1
- +2Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3 → Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 4–0
- +3Mustang SC beat Force 1–0 → Force beat Santa Rosa United 3–1
- +4Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 3–2 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 3–0
- +5Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–2 → Pleasanton RAGE beat Santa Rosa United 3–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Santa Rosa United · Golden State GU16 standings