Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 01:00 PM
Marin FC 1–0 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 16% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 16% home, 18% draw, 66% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-8 | 8-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.64 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 5 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W D | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at MVLA | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.56 | +1.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.50 | +0.10 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–0 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: Pleasanton RAGE — Marin FC 2–4; Mustang SC 6–2, 4–2. Force — Marin FC 0–2; Mustang SC 1–0. Bay Area Surf — Marin FC 0–1; Mustang SC 1–3. MVLA — Marin FC 0–3; Mustang SC 3–1. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 2–2, 0–2; Mustang SC 2–0. San Juan SC — Marin FC 1–3, 1–2; Mustang SC 3–2.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 11th | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 3% |
| Average finish | 8.7 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
81 chains
15 favour Marin FC, 57 favour Mustang SC, 9 even; average margin -2.4 goals toward Marin FC.
- +1Marin FC beat Mustang SC 1–0
- +1Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1 → Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–1
- -2Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- -2Marin FC drew with Davis Legacy 2–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 0–2
- -3Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 1–3 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- -3Marin FC lost to Force 0–2 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–1
Full picture: Marin FC · Mustang SC · Golden State GU16 standings