Result · Saturday, Aug 15, 09:00 AM
MVLA 1–3 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 71% home, 14% draw, 15% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | MVLA | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 9-0-2 | 8-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.45 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at Santa Rosa United | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Mustang SC | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.69 | +1.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.01 | +0.10 |
Already met this season: Aug 15 1–3 (home for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 4–2; Mustang SC 4–2. Davis Legacy — MVLA 2–3; Mustang SC 2–0. Marin FC — MVLA 3–0; Mustang SC 0–1. Force — MVLA 4–1; Mustang SC 1–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 7–0; Mustang SC 6–2, 4–2. Placer United — MVLA 5–0, 5–0; Mustang SC 4–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 4% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
89 chains
57 favour MVLA, 21 favour Mustang SC, 11 even; average margin +1.8 goals toward MVLA.
- -2MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–3
- 0MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 4–2 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 2–4
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 5–0 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 5–0 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- +2MVLA beat Force 4–1 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- +3MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 7–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 2–6
Full picture: MVLA · Mustang SC · Golden State GU16 standings