Preview · Sunday, Nov 1, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 home, 1.2 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Points per game | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W W D L L |
| Biggest win | 12–0 vs COSC | 4–0 at Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at San Juan SC | 0–3 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.89 | +0.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.91 | +0.21 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 2–2 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Mustang SC 2–2. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Mustang SC 2–0, 4–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Mustang SC 2–1. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Mustang SC 0–2. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–3; Mustang SC 0–3. Force — Bay Area Surf 7–1, 4–0; Mustang SC 3–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–2; Mustang SC 4–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 6th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 67% | 8% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.1 | 5.6 |
How the results connect
84 chains
42 favour Bay Area Surf, 32 favour Mustang SC, 10 even; average margin +0.2 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–3 → San Juan SC beat Mustang SC 3–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Force 4–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- -1Bay Area Surf drew with Placer United 2–2 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–4
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Golden State GU15 standings