Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 03:00 PM
Mustang SC 2–2 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 26% home, 22% draw, 52% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-3 | 7-3-1 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 2.18 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Pleasanton RAGE | 12–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at San Juan SC | 0–3 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | +1.89 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | -0.91 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 2–2 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — Mustang SC 2–1; Bay Area Surf 2–2. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–1; Bay Area Surf 3–2. Force — Mustang SC 3–0; Bay Area Surf 7–1, 4–0. Marin FC — Mustang SC 0–2; Bay Area Surf 1–1. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 0–3; Bay Area Surf 0–3. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 2–2; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 2–0, 4–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 8% | 70% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.7 | 4.1 |
How the results connect
84 chains
32 favour Mustang SC, 42 favour Bay Area Surf, 10 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- 0Mustang SC lost to San Juan SC 0–3 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 3–0
- -1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -1Mustang SC beat Force 3–0 → Force lost to Bay Area Surf 0–4
- +1Mustang SC beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- -2Mustang SC drew with Stanislaus Surf 2–2 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU15 standings