Result · Sunday, Aug 16, 01:00 PM
Placer United 1–2 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 61% home, 18% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Placer United | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-4 | 5-2-3 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Goals for / game | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W W | W W D L L |
| Biggest win | 10–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 4–0 at Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 1–6 at MVLA | 0–3 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.06 | +0.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.24 | +0.21 |
Already met this season: Aug 16 1–2 (home for Placer United)
Common opponents: Force — Placer United 8–0; Mustang SC 3–0. San Juan SC — Placer United 0–4; Mustang SC 0–3. Bay Area Surf — Placer United 2–2; Mustang SC 2–2. Davis Legacy — Placer United 5–0; Mustang SC 4–1. Stanislaus Surf — Placer United 6–0; Mustang SC 2–2. Pleasanton RAGE — Placer United 6–0, 8–1; Mustang SC 2–0, 4–0. MVLA — Placer United 1–6, 1–3; Mustang SC 2–3.
What's at stake
| Placer United | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 6th |
| Games left | 10 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 37% | 8% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.7 | 5.7 |
How the results connect
89 chains
58 favour Placer United, 23 favour Mustang SC, 8 even; average margin +2.1 goals toward Placer United.
- -1Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- 0Placer United drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2 → Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
- -1Placer United lost to MVLA 1–3 → MVLA beat Mustang SC 3–2
- -1Placer United lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC beat Mustang SC 3–0
- +2Placer United beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- +2Placer United beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–4
Full picture: Placer United · Mustang SC · Golden State GU15 standings