Preview · Sunday, Apr 4, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 home, 1.6 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-2-0 | 7-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.44 |
| Goals for / game | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W D L W |
| Biggest win | 14–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 8–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +3.23 | +2.19 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.24 | -0.09 |
Common opponents: Mustang SC — MVLA 2–2; Bay Area Surf 0–3. Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 2–0; Bay Area Surf 8–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 3–3; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Marin FC — MVLA 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 14–1, 12–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 11–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Placer United — MVLA 2–0, 2–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 12 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 3% |
| Average finish | 2.7 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
84 chains
41 favour MVLA, 32 favour Bay Area Surf, 11 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- 0MVLA beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1MVLA beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +3MVLA drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 3–0
- -4MVLA drew with Davis Legacy 3–3 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
- +6MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 12–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU13 standings