Preview · Sunday, Oct 25, 02:25 PM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 home, 2.2 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-1 | 8-2-0 |
| Points per game | 2.44 | 2.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 14–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Mustang SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.19 | +3.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -1.24 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 6–0; MVLA 14–1, 12–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 8–0; MVLA 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 5–0; MVLA 11–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–1; MVLA 2–0, 2–1. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; MVLA 2–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 0–3; MVLA 2–2. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; MVLA 3–3.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 13 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 96% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 13% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
84 chains
32 favour Bay Area Surf, 41 favour MVLA, 11 even; average margin -0.5 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 0–2
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United lost to MVLA 1–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United lost to MVLA 0–2
- -3Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–3 → Mustang SC drew with MVLA 2–2
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy drew with MVLA 3–3
- -6Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to MVLA 0–11
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Golden State GU13 standings