Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 04:20 PM

Bay Area Surf 2–1 Placer United

Willow Glen High School · Football Stadium ↗ · turf? · 95125

Final

Bay Area Surf
4th · 2.44 PPG · home

2–1

Placer United
5th · 1.75 PPG · away

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 50% chance. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 23% draw, 27% away, most likely 1–1.

Season so far	Bay Area Surf	Placer United
Position	4th	5th
Record (W-D-L)	7-1-1	7-0-5
Points per game	2.44	1.75
Goals for / game	3.9	2.9
Goals against / game	0.8	0.9
Clean sheets	5	6
Held scoreless	1	2
Form (recent first)	W W D L W	L L W W W
Biggest win	8–0 vs Stanislaus Surf	9–0 vs Santa Rosa United
Worst loss	0–3 at Mustang SC	1–3 vs San Juan SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.19	+1.50
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.09	-0.17

Already met this season: Aug 29 2–1 (home for Bay Area Surf)

Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Placer United 9–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 8–0; Placer United 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Placer United 7–1, 7–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 0–3; Placer United 0–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Placer United 1–3. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Placer United 1–0. Force — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Placer United 2–0.

What's at stake

	Bay Area Surf	Placer United
Position now	4th	5th
Games left	13	10
Chance of top 4	97%	5%
Chance of 1st	3%	0%
Average finish	3.4	5.0

How the results connect

78 chains

43 favour Bay Area Surf, 31 favour Placer United, 4 even; average margin +0.9 goals toward Bay Area Surf.

+1Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–1
-1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Placer United 1–7
+2Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 2–2 → San Juan SC beat Placer United 3–1
-2Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–3 → Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0
-2Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Placer United 0–7
+3Bay Area Surf beat Force 5–0 → Force lost to Placer United 0–2

Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Placer United · Golden State GU13 standings