Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 03:00 PM
TKO Premier SC 1–1 Nationals SC-Union GMA
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 70% home, 15% draw, 15% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | TKO Premier SC | Nationals SC-Union GMA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-1 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at Plymouth Reign | 6–1 vs Michigan Burn |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Legends FC | 1–11 at Portage SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.15 | +0.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.65 | +0.27 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 1–1 (home for TKO Premier SC)
Common opponents: Cap City Athletic 1847 — TKO Premier SC 1–1; Nationals SC-Union GMA 2–1. Michigan Burn — TKO Premier SC 4–0; Nationals SC-Union GMA 6–1.
What's at stake
| TKO Premier SC | Nationals SC-Union GMA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 5 | 4 |
| Chance of top 4 | 72% | 54% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.8 | 4.3 |
How the results connect
20 chains
12 favour TKO Premier SC, 7 favour Nationals SC-Union GMA, 1 even; average margin +2.2 goals toward TKO Premier SC.
- 0TKO Premier SC drew with Nationals SC-Union GMA 1–1
- -1TKO Premier SC beat Michigan Burn 4–0 → Michigan Burn lost to Nationals SC-Union GMA 1–6
- -1TKO Premier SC drew with Cap City Athletic 1847 1–1 → Cap City Athletic 1847 lost to Nationals SC-Union GMA 1–2
- +1TKO Premier SC beat Michigan Burn 4–0 → Michigan Burn drew with Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 11/12 GMA 0–0 → Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 11/12 GMA lost to Nationals SC-Union GMA 1–4
- -1TKO Premier SC drew with Cap City Athletic 1847 1–1 → Cap City Athletic 1847 drew with Liverpool FC MI GMA 1–1 → Liverpool FC MI GMA lost to Nationals SC-Union GMA 1–2
- +1TKO Premier SC beat Detroit City FC West 1–0 → Detroit City FC West beat Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 11/12 GMA 4–1 → Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 11/12 GMA lost to Nationals SC-Union GMA 1–4
Full picture: TKO Premier SC · Nationals SC-Union GMA · GMA GU15 standings