Preview · Sunday, Mar 21, TBD
WNY Flash Erie vs Northern Steel
Venue TBD
Forecast
31%
23%
46%
WNY Flash Erie windrawNorthern Steel win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 home, 1.8 away)
| Season so far | WNY Flash Erie | Northern Steel |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-1 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Columbus Force | 4–0 at Manta |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Northern Steel | 0–1 vs WNY Flash Rochester |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.87 | +1.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.14 | -0.49 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 0–3 (away for WNY Flash Erie)
Common opponents: WNY Flash Rochester — WNY Flash Erie 3–1; Northern Steel 0–1.
What's at stake
| WNY Flash Erie | Northern Steel | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 8 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 26% | 42% |
| Average finish | 2.2 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
5 chains
4 favour WNY Flash Erie, 1 favour Northern Steel; average margin +3.0 goals toward WNY Flash Erie.
- -3WNY Flash Erie lost to Northern Steel 0–3
- +3WNY Flash Erie beat WNY Flash Rochester 3–1 → WNY Flash Rochester beat Northern Steel 1–0
- +3WNY Flash Erie beat Steel City FC 4–2 → Steel City FC beat Manta 5–0 → Manta lost to Northern Steel 0–4
- +4WNY Flash Erie beat Steel City FC 4–2 → Steel City FC beat WNY Flash Rochester 4–3 → WNY Flash Rochester beat Northern Steel 1–0
- +8WNY Flash Erie beat Steel City FC 4–2 → Steel City FC beat Canton Force 9–1 → Canton Force lost to Northern Steel 0–2
Full picture: WNY Flash Erie · Northern Steel · GLA GU14 standings