Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 11:30 AM
Steel City FC 2–4 WNY Flash Erie
No Offseason · Soccer 2 ↗ · 15076
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 64% home, 15% draw, 22% away, most likely 3–2.
| Season so far | Steel City FC | WNY Flash Erie |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W L | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 14–0 vs Cincinnati Elite FC | 6–0 vs Columbus Force |
| Worst loss | 2–4 vs WNY Flash Erie | 0–3 at Northern Steel |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.18 | +0.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.48 | +1.14 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 2–4 (home for Steel City FC)
Common opponents: WNY Flash Rochester — Steel City FC 4–3; WNY Flash Erie 3–1.
What's at stake
| Steel City FC | WNY Flash Erie | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 7 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 32% | 26% |
| Average finish | 2.0 | 2.2 |
How the results connect
5 chains
3 favour Steel City FC, 2 favour WNY Flash Erie; average margin +3.0 goals toward Steel City FC.
- -2Steel City FC lost to WNY Flash Erie 2–4
- -1Steel City FC beat WNY Flash Rochester 4–3 → WNY Flash Rochester lost to WNY Flash Erie 1–3
- +4Steel City FC beat Manta 5–0 → Manta lost to Northern Steel 0–4 → Northern Steel beat WNY Flash Erie 3–0
- +5Steel City FC beat WNY Flash Rochester 4–3 → WNY Flash Rochester beat Northern Steel 1–0 → Northern Steel beat WNY Flash Erie 3–0
- +9Steel City FC beat Canton Force 9–1 → Canton Force lost to Northern Steel 0–2 → Northern Steel beat WNY Flash Erie 3–0
Full picture: Steel City FC · WNY Flash Erie · GLA GU14 standings