Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 09:00 AM
Kansas City Surf BLUE 2–2 Arkansas Rising
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 14% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 74% home, 14% draw, 12% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Kansas City Surf BLUE | Arkansas Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-2-1 | 3-2-6 |
| Points per game | 2.36 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W W | D L D W L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs West Side Alliance OKC | 6–1 vs Broken Arrow Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | 1–5 vs FC Wichita Red | 0–6 vs FC Wichita Red |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.74 | -0.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.80 | +0.81 |
Already met this season: Oct 10 2–1 (home for Kansas City Surf BLUE); Oct 11 2–2 (home for Kansas City Surf BLUE)
Common opponents: Arkansas Comets FC — Kansas City Surf BLUE 1–1, 5–0; Arkansas Rising 1–2. FC Wichita Red — Kansas City Surf BLUE 1–5; Arkansas Rising 0–6, 2–5. Sporting Springfield — Kansas City Surf BLUE 7–1, 1–0; Arkansas Rising 0–1.
What's at stake
| Kansas City Surf BLUE | Arkansas Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 6th |
| Games left | 8 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.1 | 5.9 |
How the results connect
34 chains
29 favour Kansas City Surf BLUE, 2 favour Arkansas Rising, 3 even; average margin +3.6 goals toward Kansas City Surf BLUE.
- 0Kansas City Surf BLUE drew with Arkansas Rising 2–2
- +1Kansas City Surf BLUE beat Arkansas Rising 2–1
- -1Kansas City Surf BLUE lost to FC Wichita Red 1–5 → FC Wichita Red beat Arkansas Rising 5–2
- +1Kansas City Surf BLUE drew with Arkansas Comets FC 1–1 → Arkansas Comets FC beat Arkansas Rising 2–1
- +2Kansas City Surf BLUE beat Sporting Springfield 1–0 → Sporting Springfield beat Arkansas Rising 1–0
- +2Kansas City Surf BLUE lost to FC Wichita Red 1–5 → FC Wichita Red beat Arkansas Rising 6–0
Full picture: Kansas City Surf BLUE · Arkansas Rising · Frontier GU16 standings