Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 10:00 AM
NC Fusion 1–0 NCFC Youth Premier
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 30% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 30% home, 19% draw, 50% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | NC Fusion | NCFC Youth Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-5 | 2-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L W | W D W L L |
| Biggest win | 1–0 vs NCFC Youth Premier | 9–1 vs Catawba Valley YSA |
| Worst loss | 1–5 at Highland FC | 1–4 at Charlotte SA White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.77 | +0.12 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.64 | -0.56 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–0 (home for NC Fusion)
Common opponents: Charlotte SA White — NC Fusion 2–5; NCFC Youth Premier 1–4. Highland FC — NC Fusion 1–5; NCFC Youth Premier 4–5, 1–1. Catawba Valley YSA — NC Fusion 2–1; NCFC Youth Premier 9–1, 3–2. Charlotte SA Blue — NC Fusion 2–1; NCFC Youth Premier 1–3.
What's at stake
| NC Fusion | NCFC Youth Premier | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 6th |
| Games left | 4 | 4 |
| Chance of top 4 | 10% | 5% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.3 | 5.7 |
How the results connect
33 chains
16 favour NC Fusion, 14 favour NCFC Youth Premier, 3 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward NC Fusion.
- +1NC Fusion beat NCFC Youth Premier 1–0
- 0NC Fusion beat Catawba Valley YSA 2–1 → Catawba Valley YSA lost to NCFC Youth Premier 2–3
- 0NC Fusion lost to Charlotte SA White 2–5 → Charlotte SA White beat NCFC Youth Premier 4–1
- +3NC Fusion beat Charlotte SA Blue 2–1 → Charlotte SA Blue beat NCFC Youth Premier 3–1
- -3NC Fusion lost to Highland FC 1–5 → Highland FC beat NCFC Youth Premier 5–4
- -4NC Fusion lost to Highland FC 1–5 → Highland FC drew with NCFC Youth Premier 1–1
Full picture: NC Fusion · NCFC Youth Premier · Carolinas GU16 standings