Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 01:00 PM
NCFC Youth Premier 4–5 Highland FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 34% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 48% home, 18% draw, 34% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth Premier | Highland FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-4 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L L | D W L L W |
| Biggest win | 9–1 vs Catawba Valley YSA | 5–1 vs NC Fusion |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Charlotte SA White | 0–4 vs NCFC Youth Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.12 | +0.01 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.55 | +0.55 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 4–5 (home for NCFC Youth Premier); Oct 17 1–1 (away for NCFC Youth Premier)
Common opponents: Charlotte SA White — NCFC Youth Premier 1–4; Highland FC 1–4. NC Fusion — NCFC Youth Premier 0–1; Highland FC 5–1.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth Premier | Highland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 4th |
| Games left | 4 | 5 |
| Chance of top 4 | 3% | 91% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.8 | 4.0 |
How the results connect
19 chains
4 favour NCFC Youth Premier, 10 favour Highland FC, 5 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward NCFC Youth Premier.
- 0NCFC Youth Premier drew with Highland FC 1–1
- -1NCFC Youth Premier lost to Highland FC 4–5
- 0NCFC Youth Premier lost to Charlotte SA White 1–4 → Charlotte SA White beat Highland FC 4–1
- -5NCFC Youth Premier lost to NC Fusion 0–1 → NC Fusion lost to Highland FC 1–5
- 0NCFC Youth Premier beat Catawba Valley YSA 9–1 → Catawba Valley YSA lost to NCFC Youth Elite 0–12 → NCFC Youth Elite beat Highland FC 4–0
- 0NCFC Youth Premier lost to NC Fusion 0–1 → NC Fusion lost to NCFC Youth Elite 0–3 → NCFC Youth Elite beat Highland FC 4–0
Full picture: NCFC Youth Premier · Highland FC · Carolinas GU16 standings