Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 02:00 PM
AHFC EAST STXCL 4–3 VCF HOUSTON STXCL
Dyess Park · Field 2 ↗ · 77429
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 37% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 19% draw, 44% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | AHFC EAST STXCL | VCF HOUSTON STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 2-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L D W | W L L D L |
| Biggest win | 1–0 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold | 4–1 at SAFC STXCL |
| Worst loss | 2–5 vs MAFC STXCL | 1–2 at JSAFC STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.23 | +0.24 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.18 | -0.44 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 4–3 (home for AHFC EAST STXCL)
Common opponents: Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold — AHFC EAST STXCL 1–0; VCF HOUSTON STXCL 0–1. Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold — AHFC EAST STXCL 1–0; VCF HOUSTON STXCL 4–4.
What's at stake
| AHFC EAST STXCL | VCF HOUSTON STXCL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 10th |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 9% | 6% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 8.2 | 9.0 |
How the results connect
12 chains
7 favour AHFC EAST STXCL, 4 favour VCF HOUSTON STXCL, 1 even; average margin -0.5 goals toward AHFC EAST STXCL.
- +1AHFC EAST STXCL beat VCF HOUSTON STXCL 4–3
- +1AHFC EAST STXCL beat Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 1–0 → Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold drew with VCF HOUSTON STXCL 4–4
- +2AHFC EAST STXCL beat Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 1–0 → Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold beat VCF HOUSTON STXCL 1–0
- 0AHFC EAST STXCL drew with LTFC STXCL 3–3 → LTFC STXCL beat Imperial SC STXCL 4–1 → Imperial SC STXCL lost to VCF HOUSTON STXCL 0–3
- +1AHFC EAST STXCL lost to MAFC STXCL 2–5 → MAFC STXCL beat JSAFC STXCL 4–1 → JSAFC STXCL beat VCF HOUSTON STXCL 2–1
- +1AHFC EAST STXCL beat Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 1–0 → Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold beat SAFC STXCL 4–1 → SAFC STXCL lost to VCF HOUSTON STXCL 1–4
Full picture: AHFC EAST STXCL · VCF HOUSTON STXCL · STXCL BU17 standings