Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 10:00 AM
MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL 5–3 Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold
Dyess Park · Field 10 ↗ · 77429
Final
MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL
1st · 3.00 PPG · home
1st · 3.00 PPG · home
5–3
Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold
9th · 1.67 PPG · away
9th · 1.67 PPG · away
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 73% chance. Pre-match odds were 73% home, 14% draw, 13% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL | Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | D W W L L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold A | 4–0 vs Imperial SC STXCL |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.43 | -0.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.41 | -0.48 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 5–3 (home for MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL)
Common opponents: JSAFC STXCL — MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL 2–1; Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 0–0.
What's at stake
| MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL | Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 9th |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 39% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.4 | 9.4 |
How the results connect
8 chains
7 favour MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL, 1 favour Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold; average margin +2.9 goals toward MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL.
- +2MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 5–3
- +1MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat JSAFC STXCL 2–1 → JSAFC STXCL drew with Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 0–0
- +1MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat Houstonians FC STXCL 2–1 → Houstonians FC STXCL drew with JSAFC STXCL 2–2 → JSAFC STXCL drew with Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 0–0
- +1MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat SAFC STXCL 2–0 → SAFC STXCL drew with RISE SC STXCL 1–1 → RISE SC STXCL lost to Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 2–3
- -2MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat Houstonians FC STXCL 2–1 → Houstonians FC STXCL lost to Lions FC STXCL Red 0–2 → Lions FC STXCL Red lost to Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 0–1
- +5MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold A 7–0 → Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold A beat Imperial SC STXCL 3–1 → Imperial SC STXCL lost to Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 0–4
Full picture: MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL · Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · STXCL BU16 standings