Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 10:00 AM
AHFC NW STXCL 1–1 TC Premier SC STXCL
Dyess Park · Field 2 ↗ · 77429
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 25% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 51% home, 25% draw, 23% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | AHFC NW STXCL | TC Premier SC STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-0 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W D W | W L W D W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 vs Imperial SC STXCL | 4–0 vs Houstonians FC STXCL |
| Worst loss | — | 0–2 vs SAFC STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.84 | +0.94 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | +0.06 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 1–1 (home for AHFC NW STXCL)
Common opponents: LTFC STXCL — AHFC NW STXCL 5–1; TC Premier SC STXCL 1–0.
What's at stake
| AHFC NW STXCL | TC Premier SC STXCL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 46% |
| Chance of 1st | 31% | 4% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 4.6 |
How the results connect
6 chains
2 favour AHFC NW STXCL, 0 favour TC Premier SC STXCL, 4 even; average margin +1.3 goals toward AHFC NW STXCL.
- 0AHFC NW STXCL drew with TC Premier SC STXCL 1–1
- +3AHFC NW STXCL beat LTFC STXCL 5–1 → LTFC STXCL lost to TC Premier SC STXCL 0–1
- 0AHFC NW STXCL drew with CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL 0–0 → CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL beat LTFC STXCL 2–1 → LTFC STXCL lost to TC Premier SC STXCL 0–1
- 0AHFC NW STXCL beat Lions FC STXCL Red 2–0 → Lions FC STXCL Red drew with SG1 STXCL 3–3 → SG1 STXCL lost to TC Premier SC STXCL 0–2
- 0AHFC NW STXCL beat Lions FC STXCL Red 2–0 → Lions FC STXCL Red beat Houstonians FC STXCL 2–0 → Houstonians FC STXCL lost to TC Premier SC STXCL 0–4
- +5AHFC NW STXCL beat Imperial SC STXCL 10–0 → Imperial SC STXCL lost to LTFC STXCL 1–5 → LTFC STXCL lost to TC Premier SC STXCL 0–1
Full picture: AHFC NW STXCL · TC Premier SC STXCL · STXCL BU16 standings