Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
South Carolina Surf 2–1 Concorde Fire Premier
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 21% home, 20% draw, 59% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | South Carolina Surf | Concorde Fire Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-3 | 4-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W D L | L W W L W |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at South Carolina United | 5–1 at South Carolina United |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs NTH NASA | 1–3 vs CESA Triumph Summit |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.84 | +0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.31 | -0.20 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–1 (home for South Carolina Surf)
Common opponents: Atlanta Fire United — South Carolina Surf 1–1; Concorde Fire Premier 4–2. NTH NASA — South Carolina Surf 0–5; Concorde Fire Premier 0–1. South Carolina United — South Carolina Surf 1–1, 2–1; Concorde Fire Premier 5–1. Concorde Fire Platinum — South Carolina Surf 1–1; Concorde Fire Premier 2–0, 1–0.
What's at stake
| South Carolina Surf | Concorde Fire Premier | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 5th |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 10% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 8.5 | 5.5 |
How the results connect
55 chains
6 favour South Carolina Surf, 45 favour Concorde Fire Premier, 4 even; average margin -2.2 goals toward South Carolina Surf.
- +1South Carolina Surf beat Concorde Fire Premier 2–1
- -1South Carolina Surf drew with Concorde Fire Platinum 1–1 → Concorde Fire Platinum lost to Concorde Fire Premier 0–1
- -2South Carolina Surf drew with Concorde Fire Platinum 1–1 → Concorde Fire Platinum lost to Concorde Fire Premier 0–2
- -2South Carolina Surf drew with Atlanta Fire United 1–1 → Atlanta Fire United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 2–4
- -3South Carolina Surf beat South Carolina United 2–1 → South Carolina United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 1–5
- -4South Carolina Surf drew with South Carolina United 1–1 → South Carolina United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 1–5
Full picture: South Carolina Surf · Concorde Fire Premier · Southeast BU16 standings