Result · Saturday, Aug 15, 12:00 PM

Stockton TLJ FC 4–2 Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club

Final

Stockton TLJ FC
3rd · 2.50 PPG · home

4–2

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 36% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 36% home, 18% draw, 46% away, most likely 2–2.

Season so far	Stockton TLJ FC	Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club
Position	3rd	5th
Record (W-D-L)	5-0-1	5-1-1
Points per game	2.50	2.29
Goals for / game	3.5	3.3
Goals against / game	2.2	1.1
Clean sheets	0	2
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W W W L	W W W W W
Biggest win	5–2 at Livermore Fusion SC	11–1 vs Legends FC SJ
Worst loss	3–5 at ALBION SC Central Valley	2–4 at Stockton TLJ FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.09	+1.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.29	-0.64

Already met this season: Aug 15 4–2 (home for Stockton TLJ FC)

Common opponents: Livermore Fusion SC — Stockton TLJ FC 5–2; Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 3–1.

	Stockton TLJ FC	Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club
Position now	3rd	5th
Games left	10	9
Chance of top 4	35%	23%
Chance of 1st	4%	2%
Average finish	5.8	7.0

7 chains

5 favour Stockton TLJ FC, 2 favour Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club; average margin +0.7 goals toward Stockton TLJ FC.

+2Stockton TLJ FC beat Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 4–2
+1Stockton TLJ FC beat Livermore Fusion SC 5–2 → Livermore Fusion SC lost to Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 1–3
+1Stockton TLJ FC beat SF United FC 4–1 → SF United FC drew with Livermore Fusion SC 2–2 → Livermore Fusion SC lost to Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 1–3
-1Stockton TLJ FC beat Turlock Academica Jrs 2–1 → Turlock Academica Jrs drew with Union FC 1–1 → Union FC lost to Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 0–2
+2Stockton TLJ FC beat Turlock Academica Jrs 2–1 → Turlock Academica Jrs beat East County Revolution FC /09 4–2 → East County Revolution FC /09 lost to Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 0–1
-5Stockton TLJ FC beat Central Valley Premier FC -RL 3–2 → Central Valley Premier FC -RL beat Legends FC SJ 4–0 → Legends FC SJ lost to Sunnyvale Alliance Soccer Club 1–11