Result · Saturday, Aug 15, 12:00 PM
Elk Grove United 2–3 Fresno Heat
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 62% home, 17% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Elk Grove United | Fresno Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 4-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.71 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L W L L W |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at Diablo Valley Futbol Club | 9–2 vs Legends FC SJ |
| Worst loss | 2–4 at South Valley United Soccer Club | 1–5 at ALBION SC Central Valley |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.96 | +0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.77 | -0.06 |
Already met this season: Aug 15 2–3 (home for Elk Grove United)
Common opponents: Santa Cruz Mid County YSC — Elk Grove United 1–0; Fresno Heat 0–3. Sanger Futbol Club — Elk Grove United 3–0; Fresno Heat 4–1.
What's at stake
| Elk Grove United | Fresno Heat | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 11th |
| Games left | 8 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 30% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.4 | 11.8 |
How the results connect
11 chains
6 favour Elk Grove United, 2 favour Fresno Heat, 3 even; average margin +1.3 goals toward Elk Grove United.
- -1Elk Grove United lost to Fresno Heat 2–3
- 0Elk Grove United beat Sanger Futbol Club 3–0 → Sanger Futbol Club lost to Fresno Heat 1–4
- +4Elk Grove United beat Santa Cruz Mid County YSC 1–0 → Santa Cruz Mid County YSC beat Fresno Heat 3–0
- 0Elk Grove United beat Sanger Futbol Club 3–0 → Sanger Futbol Club lost to ALBION SC Central Valley 1–8 → ALBION SC Central Valley beat Fresno Heat 5–1
- 0Elk Grove United beat Santa Cruz Mid County YSC 1–0 → Santa Cruz Mid County YSC beat Sanger Futbol Club 2–0 → Sanger Futbol Club lost to Fresno Heat 1–4
- +1Elk Grove United beat Santa Cruz Mid County YSC 1–0 → Santa Cruz Mid County YSC beat SF United FC 2–1 → SF United FC lost to Fresno Heat 0–1
Full picture: Elk Grove United · Fresno Heat · NorCal BU18/19 standings