Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 11:30 AM
FC Fresno Academy 1–3 Solano Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 25% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 54% home, 21% draw, 25% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | FC Fresno Academy | Solano Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-4 | 3-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W L | W L L W W |
| Biggest win | 6–2 vs Legends FC | 3–1 at Stanford Strikers |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at CVFA | 0–3 vs Walnut Creek Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.22 | -0.31 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | +0.53 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 1–3 (home for FC Fresno Academy)
Common opponents: CVFA — FC Fresno Academy 0–3; Solano Surf 0–3. SF United FC — FC Fresno Academy 5–2; Solano Surf 1–3.
What's at stake
| FC Fresno Academy | Solano Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 12th | 13th |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 11.6 | 12.7 |
How the results connect
9 chains
5 favour FC Fresno Academy, 3 favour Solano Surf, 1 even; average margin +1.2 goals toward FC Fresno Academy.
- -2FC Fresno Academy lost to Solano Surf 1–3
- 0FC Fresno Academy lost to CVFA 0–3 → CVFA beat Solano Surf 3–0
- +5FC Fresno Academy beat SF United FC 5–2 → SF United FC beat Solano Surf 3–1
- -1FC Fresno Academy lost to CVFA 0–3 → CVFA beat Stanford Strikers 4–0 → Stanford Strikers lost to Solano Surf 1–3
- -1FC Fresno Academy lost to City SC Kings County 0–2 → City SC Kings County lost to CVFA 0–2 → CVFA beat Solano Surf 3–0
- +2FC Fresno Academy beat SF United FC 5–2 → SF United FC lost to Walnut Creek Surf 1–5 → Walnut Creek Surf beat Solano Surf 3–0
Full picture: FC Fresno Academy · Solano Surf · NorCal BU14 standings