Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 2–2 FC Alliance TN
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 35% home, 19% draw, 46% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | FC Alliance TN |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-4-6 | 2-1-5 |
| Points per game | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | D D L D L | D L W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–3 at Germantown Legends | 4–0 vs Mississippi Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–9 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0–5 at Alabama FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.07 | -0.80 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.02 | -0.31 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 0–4 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 18 2–2 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 0–6; FC Alliance TN 0–2, 1–2.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | FC Alliance TN | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 7th |
| Games left | 7 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 9.3 | 7.8 |
How the results connect
66 chains
21 favour Mississippi Surf, 38 favour FC Alliance TN, 7 even; average margin -1.2 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- 0Mississippi Surf drew with FC Alliance TN 2–2
- -4Mississippi Surf lost to FC Alliance TN 0–4
- -4Mississippi Surf lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–6 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat FC Alliance TN 2–0
- -5Mississippi Surf lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–6 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat FC Alliance TN 2–1
- 0Mississippi Surf drew with North Georgia Soccer Academy 1–1 → North Georgia Soccer Academy lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 2–3 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat FC Alliance TN 2–1
- 0Mississippi Surf drew with North Georgia Soccer Academy 1–1 → North Georgia Soccer Academy lost to Mississippi Rush United 0–1 → Mississippi Rush United beat FC Alliance TN 2–1
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · FC Alliance TN · Mid-America BU17 standings