Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 01:00 PM
Mississippi Surf 5–6 Lobos Rush
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 66% chance. Pre-match odds were 21% home, 13% draw, 66% away, most likely 2–4.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Lobos Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-4-6 | 5-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.64 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D D L D L | W W L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–3 at Germantown Legends | 3–0 vs Mississippi Rush United |
| Worst loss | 1–9 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0–5 at Alabama FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.07 | -0.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.02 | -0.33 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 2–5 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 3 5–6 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Mississippi Surf 4–3, 4–4; Lobos Rush 2–5, 4–1. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Mississippi Surf 1–9; Lobos Rush 0–4. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 2–2; Lobos Rush 2–1. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 0–6; Lobos Rush 1–3.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Lobos Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 5th |
| Games left | 7 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 3% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 9.3 | 5.9 |
How the results connect
62 chains
16 favour Mississippi Surf, 41 favour Lobos Rush, 5 even; average margin -2.2 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- -1Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 5–6
- -3Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 2–5
- -1Mississippi Surf drew with Tennessee SC 2–2 → Tennessee SC lost to Lobos Rush 1–2
- -2Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 4–3 → Germantown Legends lost to Lobos Rush 1–4
- +3Mississippi Surf drew with Germantown Legends 4–4 → Germantown Legends beat Lobos Rush 5–2
- -3Mississippi Surf drew with Germantown Legends 4–4 → Germantown Legends lost to Lobos Rush 1–4
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Lobos Rush · Mid-America BU17 standings