Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 2–2 Tennessee SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 10% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 7% home, 10% draw, 83% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Tennessee SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-4-6 | 5-3-1 |
| Points per game | 0.64 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D D L D L | D W W D D |
| Biggest win | 4–3 at Germantown Legends | 4–0 vs Germantown Legends |
| Worst loss | 1–9 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 1–2 vs Lobos Rush |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.07 | +0.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.02 | -0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 2–2 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Mississippi Surf 4–3, 4–4; Tennessee SC 4–0. Lobos Rush — Mississippi Surf 2–5, 5–6; Tennessee SC 1–2. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Mississippi Surf 1–9; Tennessee SC 2–0, 1–1. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 0–6; Tennessee SC 1–0.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Tennessee SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 2nd |
| Games left | 7 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 80% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 5% |
| Average finish | 9.3 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
83 chains
6 favour Mississippi Surf, 74 favour Tennessee SC, 3 even; average margin -4.8 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- 0Mississippi Surf drew with Tennessee SC 2–2
- 0Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 5–6 → Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC 2–1
- -2Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 2–5 → Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC 2–1
- -3Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 4–3 → Germantown Legends lost to Tennessee SC 0–4
- -4Mississippi Surf drew with Germantown Legends 4–4 → Germantown Legends lost to Tennessee SC 0–4
- -7Mississippi Surf lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–6 → Alabama FC Huntsville lost to Tennessee SC 0–1
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Tennessee SC · Mid-America BU17 standings