Result · Sunday, Aug 23, 09:00 AM
Lobos Rush 5–2 Mississippi Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 77% chance. Pre-match odds were 77% home, 10% draw, 13% away, most likely 4–2.
| Season so far | Lobos Rush | Mississippi Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-4 | 1-4-6 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.64 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L L | D D L D L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Mississippi Rush United | 4–3 at Germantown Legends |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Alabama FC | 1–9 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.33 | -2.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.33 | +0.02 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 5–2 (home for Lobos Rush); Oct 3 6–5 (away for Lobos Rush)
Common opponents: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Lobos Rush 0–4; Mississippi Surf 1–9. Tennessee SC — Lobos Rush 2–1; Mississippi Surf 2–2. Germantown Legends — Lobos Rush 2–5, 4–1; Mississippi Surf 4–3, 4–4. Alabama FC Huntsville — Lobos Rush 1–3; Mississippi Surf 0–6.
What's at stake
| Lobos Rush | Mississippi Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 9th |
| Games left | 9 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 3% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.9 | 9.3 |
How the results connect
62 chains
41 favour Lobos Rush, 16 favour Mississippi Surf, 5 even; average margin +2.2 goals toward Lobos Rush.
- +1Lobos Rush beat Mississippi Surf 6–5
- +3Lobos Rush beat Mississippi Surf 5–2
- +1Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC 2–1 → Tennessee SC drew with Mississippi Surf 2–2
- +2Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 4–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 3–4
- +3Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 4–1 → Germantown Legends drew with Mississippi Surf 4–4
- -3Lobos Rush lost to Germantown Legends 2–5 → Germantown Legends drew with Mississippi Surf 4–4
Full picture: Lobos Rush · Mississippi Surf · Mid-America BU17 standings