Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 12:00 PM
Mississippi Surf 3–5 Tennessee SC Murfreesboro
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 64% home, 17% draw, 19% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-7 | 3-0-7 |
| Points per game | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 5 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L W L | W L L W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Germantown Legends | 5–3 at Mississippi Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at North Georgia Soccer Academy | 0–8 at Tennessee SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.38 | -1.46 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.18 | +0.26 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 3–5 (home for Mississippi Surf); Sep 27 4–0 (away for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Mississippi Surf 4–0, 3–1; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–3. Lobos Rush — Mississippi Surf 1–1, 1–2; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–5. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 0–3, 0–2; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 0–8, 0–2. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 0–2; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 1–0.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 7th |
| Games left | 5 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.4 | 7.7 |
How the results connect
94 chains
50 favour Mississippi Surf, 33 favour Tennessee SC Murfreesboro, 11 even; average margin +0.8 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- -2Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–5
- +4Mississippi Surf beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 4–0
- 0Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC 0–2 → Tennessee SC beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–0
- -1Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC 0–3 → Tennessee SC beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–0
- +2Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 1–2 → Lobos Rush beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 5–2
- -3Mississippi Surf lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–2 → Alabama FC Huntsville lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 0–1
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Mid-America BU15 standings