Result · Sunday, Aug 23, 11:00 AM
Lobos Rush 1–1 Mississippi Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 53% home, 22% draw, 25% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Lobos Rush | Mississippi Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 4-2-7 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 1.08 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L W | D L L W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Mississippi Rush United | 4–0 at Germantown Legends |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Alabama FC | 0–4 at North Georgia Soccer Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.09 | -0.38 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.23 | -0.18 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 1–1 (home for Lobos Rush); Oct 3 2–1 (away for Lobos Rush)
Common opponents: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Lobos Rush 5–2; Mississippi Surf 3–5, 4–0. Tennessee SC — Lobos Rush 0–1; Mississippi Surf 0–3, 0–2. Germantown Legends — Lobos Rush 2–1, 2–0; Mississippi Surf 4–0, 3–1. Alabama FC Huntsville — Lobos Rush 0–2; Mississippi Surf 0–2.
What's at stake
| Lobos Rush | Mississippi Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 6th |
| Games left | 9 | 5 |
| Chance of top 4 | 13% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.9 | 6.4 |
How the results connect
80 chains
36 favour Lobos Rush, 32 favour Mississippi Surf, 12 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward Lobos Rush.
- 0Lobos Rush drew with Mississippi Surf 1–1
- +1Lobos Rush beat Mississippi Surf 2–1
- 0Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 2–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
- 0Lobos Rush lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–2 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat Mississippi Surf 2–0
- -1Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 2–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
- +1Lobos Rush lost to Tennessee SC 0–1 → Tennessee SC beat Mississippi Surf 2–0
Full picture: Lobos Rush · Mississippi Surf · Mid-America BU15 standings