Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 2–0 FC Alliance TN
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 95% chance. Pre-match odds were 95% home, 4% draw, 2% away, most likely 4–0.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | FC Alliance TN |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-0 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 2.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 3.7 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at Germantown Legends | 3–2 at Alabama FC |
| Worst loss | — | 0–5 vs Mississippi Rush United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.16 | -1.47 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.68 | +0.93 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 6–1 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 18 2–0 (home for Mississippi Surf)
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | FC Alliance TN | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 9th |
| Games left | 10 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 26% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.1 | 7.8 |
How the results connect
30 chains
28 favour Mississippi Surf, 1 favour FC Alliance TN, 1 even; average margin +5.6 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- +2Mississippi Surf beat FC Alliance TN 2–0
- +5Mississippi Surf beat FC Alliance TN 6–1
- 0Mississippi Surf drew with Tennessee SC 1–1 → Tennessee SC beat Alabama FC 3–2 → Alabama FC lost to FC Alliance TN 2–3
- +2Mississippi Surf beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–2 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro drew with Mississippi Rush United 1–1 → Mississippi Rush United beat FC Alliance TN 3–2
- +2Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 2–0 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Rush United 2–3 → Mississippi Rush United beat FC Alliance TN 3–2
- +2Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 2–0 → Lobos Rush lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 1–5 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat FC Alliance TN 4–0
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · FC Alliance TN · Mid-America BU14 standings